Consumer Confidence – December 2014

Consumer confidence is up very sharply this month, to a January reading and recovery best of 102.9!! Gains sweep most readings including a 12.7 point surge in the present situation component to 112.6. Here, the jobs-hard-to-get subcomponent shows special strength in the jobs market, down 1.6 percentage points to 25.7 percent in a reading that is a positive indication for the monthly employment report.

The expectations component also shows strength, up 7.9 points to 96.4 with the income subcomponent up sharply. Strength in expectations for future income points to a combination of strength in the jobs market, the stock market, and also the positive effect of lower gasoline prices. Inflation expectations, reflecting lower gas prices, are steady at 5.0 percent which is very low for this reading.

Another positive in the report is a jump in vehicle buying plans in yet another indication of consumer confidence. Nevertheless, readings on consumer spirits, including this report, have been far outstripping actual gains in underlying consumer spending, at least so far.

By | 2015-01-28T09:48:49+00:00 January 28th, 2015|Categories: Leading|Tags: |0 Comments

About the Author:

Bryan Sanford is Vice President and Investment Officer of Charter Trust Company. He joined the firm in 2009 and is based in our Concord NH office.

Mr. Sanford received his Bachelors of Science degree from the University of New Hampshire, Durham. Mr. Sanford has held the FINRA Series 7 license.

Prior to joining Charter Trust, Mr. Sanford served in the United States Marine Corps as an infantryman. He participated in Operation Iraqi Freedom, touring in Fallujah, Iraq.

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